Reference source
Pew Research Center
Parenting in America Today
Cited in 2 Likelier entries (1 risk, 1 decision).
Used in 2 entries
For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.
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- Statistic
22% of US parents extremely/very worried their child might get shot, 23% somewhat worried (≈45% combined), as of fall 2022; ranks below mental health (40%) and bullying (35%) among parental worries
“"In a fall 2022 Pew Research Center survey, 22% of parents with children under 18 said they were extremely or very worried about any of their children getting shot at some point, while another 23% said they were somewhat worried."”
Calculation notes
Used only for the perceived-risk side. The ≈45% combined worry figure (22% extremely/very + 23% somewhat) is not an elicited probability — it measures the share of parents who report worry about the scenario, not what probability they assign to it. Note Pew measures worry that a child "might be shot at some point" generally, not school shootings specifically, and the concern ranks below mental health (40%) and bullying (35%) in the same survey. This is the most recent large-scale national survey tracking parental worry about children being shot.
Independence note: Pew survey methodology is entirely independent from the school shooting incident databases (CHDS, Everytown, NCES). Measures public perception, not incidence.
Source date: 2023-01-24 · Accessed: 2026-04-18
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- Statistic
35% of US parents of children under 18 say they tend to give in too quickly; 30% say they tend to stick to their guns too much
“"Somewhat larger shares say they tend to give in too quickly (35%) rather than stick to their guns too much (30%)."”
Calculation notes
Pew Research Center "Parenting in America Today" nationally representative survey of 3,757 US parents of children under 18, fielded September 20 - October 2, 2022. The 35% figure is the direct counterpart to the harsh-discipline measure on the action side: parents acknowledging that their disciplinary tendency runs softer than they want it to. Like the action-side rate, this is a real-time tendency acknowledgment, not a retrospective lifetime evaluation. The 35%/30% near-symmetry of the give-in / hold-firm self-criticism rates is one of the cleanest two-sided anchors available in US parenting research.
Source date: 2023-01-24 · Accessed: 2026-05-24
