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Perceived fear vs. actual probability

How likely is a woman in higher education to experience sexual assault during her studies?

Lifetime probability · subgroup

approximately 1 in 6 women students globally; 1 in 4 in US undergraduate surveys

18% lifetime chance

Most people underestimate this.

Scopes vary — shown as typical adult lifetime odds. See methodology.

Crime · reviewed 2026-05-16
Evidence quality 4.63/5

Eight-dimension review score against the quality rubric . Each dimension scored 1–5.

D1 Source grounding
3/5
D2 Source authority
5/5
D3 Arithmetic
5/5
D4 Uncertainty
5/5
D5 Scope
5/5
D6 Prose
5/5
D7 Perception honesty
4/5
D8 Caveat completeness
5/5
Average 4.63/5
Direct evidence
Source Peer-reviewed study · Trauma, Violence, & Abuse
lifetime, subgroup each band = 10× rarer → zoomed to your factors See full scale →
certain 1 in 1K 1 in 1M 1 in 1B
1 in 2.3 1 in 5.7

● your factors — click this risk ▾ to reveal

  1. Your factors
A flat vector illustration of an empty university corridor at night, muted tones.

Perceived

Public perception of sexual assault on campuses varies enormously by country and cultural context. In the US, a series of high-profile cases, the AAU 2019 campus climate survey, and the Title IX regulatory framework have raised awareness to levels not seen in comparable educational systems. In other high-income countries — Australia, the UK, Germany — awareness is lower despite comparably measured prevalence. Globally, the risk is systematically underestimated: women in higher education who are assaulted most often do not report to authorities, and many frame the experience in ways that diverge from legal definitions of assault. The multi- year exposure of a university degree means cumulative probability is substantially higher than annual rates would suggest.

Source: editorial intuition, not polled

Actual

17.5 in 100 women students report sexual assault during higher education

women enrolled in higher education (Steele et al. 2024 meta-analysis, 131 articles, 21 countries; US-dominated)

Show derivation

Steele et al. 2024 (Trauma, Violence, & Abuse) meta-analysis of 131 articles across 21 countries: 17.5% of women students report sexual assault during higher education (95% CI 15.3–20.0; US-dominated, ~73% of articles). US data (AAU 2019, n=181,752): 25.9% of undergrad women report nonconsensual sexual contact since enrollment; 16.2% report nonconsensual penetration. The headline (0.175) uses the Steele et al. 2024 meta-analysis as the primary source. The US AAU figure (0.26) is cited for comparison. Australia 2021 National Student Safety Survey (Universities Australia / Social Research Centre): 4.5% sexual assault, 16.1% sexual harassment since starting university (all students). Scope is subgroup_lifetime (women enrolled in higher education, study period cumulative). Definitional heterogeneity is substantial; see caveats. Low (0.05): narrower definitions (penetration only, studies with lower recall). High (0.30): US-specific broad definitions including all nonconsensual sexual contact.

Caveats: Definitional heterogeneity is the primary methodological challenge. The Steele e…

Definitional heterogeneity is the primary methodological challenge. The Steele et al. 2024 meta-analysis pools studies using widely varying definitions: some include verbal coercion, some require physical force, some cover any nonconsensual contact, and some are limited to penetration. The 17.5% headline is a pooled average across these heterogeneous studies, and is heavily US-weighted (~73% of the 131 included articles came from the United States), so it is not a representative global average. The US AAU figure (25.9% contact, 16.2% penetration for undergraduate women) reflects broader definitions than many international studies. Direct cross-country comparison requires care: a 4.5% rate in Australia (all students, narrower definition) and 17.5% for women may reflect definitional and population-base variation rather than prevalence differences. Reporting rates are very low across all settings (typically 5–20%), meaning these figures come from research surveys, not crime statistics. Study period varies (1 year vs. entire degree); the cumulative-over-degree framing used in most US studies produces higher rates than annual estimates.

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Compare to:

A 2024 meta-analysis in Trauma, Violence, & Abuse (131 articles across 21 countries, though roughly three-quarters of the studies were from the United States) found that 17.5% of women students report sexual assault during higher education — roughly 1 in 6, with a 95% confidence interval of 15.3–20.0%. The US-specific data from the AAU 2019 campus climate survey of 181,752 students across 33 research universities found a higher figure: 25.9% of undergraduate women reported nonconsensual sexual contact since enrollment, and 16.2% reported nonconsensual penetration. Australia’s 2021 National Student Safety Survey found that 4.5% of all students were sexually assaulted and 16.1% sexually harassed since starting university, under a narrower definition. The range across these studies reflects primarily definitional and population-base variation, not substantive differences in experience.

The gap between measured prevalence and reported crime statistics is large everywhere. In campus surveys, typically 5–20% of women who report experiencing sexual assault describe having formally reported it to the university or police. Non-reporting is driven by multiple factors: uncertainty about whether the experience met the legal threshold, familiarity with the perpetrator (who is most often a peer or acquaintance, not a stranger), concerns about social consequences, and distrust of institutional response. This gap means that crime statistics dramatically understate the campus sexual assault landscape, and that prevention and institutional response operate with an incomplete picture of incidence.

The “red zone” — the first eight weeks of the first academic year — is consistently identified as a period of disproportionately elevated risk across US campus studies. Incoming students are navigating unfamiliar social environments, often without established friend networks, frequently in settings involving alcohol, and without prior experience reading risk cues in the specific social contexts of their campus. This peak dissipates over the course of the first year as students develop orientation to their environment. The implication is that prevention efforts with the highest marginal return are those targeting incoming students before and immediately after arrival.

About 1 in 6 women students globally report sexual assault during higher education, rising to 1 in 4 in US undergraduate surveys. The native figure is 17.5 per 100 women students worldwide.

Claim ledger

Every number below is what each source reported, with the verbatim quote we relied on and how we arrived at our figure. Click any link to verify directly.

1/3 sources independently verified verbatim against the cited source

  1. [1] Trauma, Violence, & Abuse — The Prevalence of Sexual Assault Among Higher Education Students: A Systematic Review With Meta-Analyses Verified
    The Prevalence of Sexual Assault Among Higher Education Students: A Systematic Review With Meta-Analyses
    Statistic
    17.5% of women students report sexual assault during higher education — meta-analysis of 131 articles from 21 countries
    Excerpt
    “"We identified 131 articles, from 21 different countries. The meta-analyzed prevalence of sexual assault was 17.5% for women. The vast majority of studies came from the United States, and prevalence estimates varied widely depending on how sexual assault was defined and measured." ”
    Source data from
    2024-01-01
    Accessed
    2026-06-30 · archived copy
    Verification
    Excerpt independently re-fetched and confirmed word-for-word against the cited source during our grounding audit.
    Calculation
    Steele et al. 2024 (Trauma, Violence, & Abuse) — systematic review with meta-analyses. 131 articles from 21 countries; the meta-analyzed prevalence of sexual assault was 17.5% for women students (95% CI 15.3–20.0). The 17.5% pooled prevalence is the native rate. Normalized directly: 0.175, scope = subgroup_lifetime (women students, study-period cumulative). No conversion needed as this is already expressed as a cumulative probability over the higher education period. (Note: the 17.5% figure is dominated by US studies — 95 of 131 articles, ~73% — so the global generalization is limited; see caveats.)
  2. [2] Association of American Universities — AAU Campus Climate Survey on Sexual Assault and Misconduct 2019
    AAU Campus Climate Survey on Sexual Assault and Misconduct 2019
    Statistic
    25.9% of undergraduate women report nonconsensual sexual contact since enrollment; 16.2% report nonconsensual penetration; largest US campus sexual climate survey (181,752 respondents)
    Excerpt
    “"Among undergraduate women, 25.9 percent reported experiencing nonconsensual sexual contact by physical force, threats of physical force, or incapacitation since enrollment at their institution. 16.2 percent of undergraduate women reported nonconsensual penetration since enrolling. The survey was administered across 33 AAU universities, yielding 181,752 completed responses; the overall rate of nonconsensual sexual contact by physical force or inability to consent across all students was 13 percent." ”
    Source data from
    2020-01-16
    Accessed
    2026-06-30 · archived copy
    Calculation
    AAU Campus Climate Survey 2019 — revised final report. n=181,752 across 33 research universities. The 25.9% "nonconsensual sexual contact" figure and 16.2% penetration figure (both undergraduate-women rates) are the US-specific anchor. The 13% figure reported by AAU is the ALL-STUDENTS nonconsensual-contact rate, not the undergraduate- women penetration rate. AAU universities are selective research institutions, possibly not representative of all US colleges; the figures are used here as the US-specific corroboration for the global meta-analysis headline.
  3. [3] Universities Australia (Social Research Centre) — 2021 National Student Safety Survey: National Report
    2021 National Student Safety Survey: National Report
    Statistic
    4.5% of students in Australia were sexually assaulted, and 16.1% sexually harassed, since starting university (all students, 43,819 respondents across 39 universities)
    Excerpt
    “"One in twenty (4.5 per cent) students had been sexually assaulted since starting university, and one in six (16.1 per cent) students had been sexually harassed since starting university. Most incidents were not formally reported. Female, transgender and non-binary students reported higher rates than male students." ”
    Source data from
    2022-03-23
    Accessed
    2026-06-30 · archived copy
    Calculation
    2021 National Student Safety Survey — national report, commissioned by Universities Australia and conducted by the Social Research Centre (NOT the Australian Human Rights Commission, which ran the earlier 2016 survey). n=43,819 students across 39 universities. The 4.5% sexual assault rate is an ALL-STUDENT figure (not women-specific) under a narrower Australian definition, providing a lower-bound anchor; 16.1% is the all-student harassment rate. The narrower definition and broader denominator explain why this figure is lower than the global meta or the US AAU undergraduate-women rate; all are likely measuring the same phenomenon with different definitional inclusion thresholds and population bases.

434 risks with measured probability
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— 1 in 7.7 Child sexual abuse — 1 in 6.8 Stalking — 1 in 6.2 Student sexual assault — 1 in 5.7 Domestic violence — 1 in 3.7 Night walk assault — 1 in 3.6 Bicycle theft — 1 in 2.9 Sexual assault — 1 in 2.3 Sexual harassment (lifetime) — 1 in 1.6 Water scarcity — 1 in 2.5 Carrington-class solar storm — 1 in 1.9 WAIS tipping point — 1 in 1.1 Indoor cat escape harm — 1 in 10 Off-leash dog bite — 1 in 9.8 Rabbit dies in 4 years — 1 in 3.3 Dog bite (non-fatal) — 1 in 1.8 Hamster dies before teenager — 1 in 1.0 Iron gap (women) — 1 in 3.9 Vitamin D gap — 1 in 2.9 Magnesium gap — 1 in 1.9 Undercooked food — 1 in 1.6 Raw meat cross-contamination — 1 in 1.4 Food left out — 1 in 1.2 AI voice scam — 1 in 2.9 Online scam loss — 1 in 2.5 Teen cyberbullying — 1 in 2.0 Kids & explicit content — 1 in 1.9 Data breach — 1 in 1.1 Miscarriage — 1 in 6.7 Teen suicide attempt — 1 in 5.6 Postpartum depression — 1 in 4.8 Painkiller before infant vaccination — 1 in 3.8 Excessive pregnancy weight — 1 in 2.6 Unvaxxed child & measles — 1 in 2.0 Child head lice — 1 in 2.0 Elder fraud loss — 1 in 10 Pension fund collapse — 1 in 10 Housing crash — 1 in 8.3 IRS audit — 1 in 6.7 Currency collapse — 1 in 5.6 Visa overstay deportation — 1 in 5.6 Subprime auto-loan repossession — 1 in 5.0 Long term disability working age — 1 in 4.0 Student loan default — 1 in 3.8 Whistleblower retaliation — 1 in 3.2 Forced job exit before retirement — 1 in 2.9 Retirement shortfall — 1 in 2.6 BNPL missed payment — 1 in 2.4 Divorce — 1 in 2.4 Burst pipe damage — 1 in 2.2 Workplace bullying — 1 in 2.1 Prolonged grid blackout — 1 in 2.0 Deportation (undocumented) — 1 in 1.8 Funeral cost shock — 1 in 1.7 Identity theft — 1 in 1.7 Credit card fraud — 1 in 1.5 School bullying — 1 in 1.5 Frontline soldier casualty — 1 in 1.3 Economic recession — 1 in 1.0 Stock market crash — 1 in 1.0 Hail roof damage — 1 in 3.0 Problem-tenant loss — 1 in 1.8 LASIK complications — 1 in 100 Dry toilet paper harm — 1 in 100 Secondhand smoke — 1 in 91 Gaming disorder (adults) — 1 in 83 High-heel ER visit — 1 in 79 Child throwing object — 1 in 67 Medication reaction — 1 in 58 Drug overdose — 1 in 56 Gas-stove asthma in a child — 1 in 50 Cat litter toxoplasmosis — 1 in 48 Mental health LTD claim — 1 in 45 Benzo dependence — 1 in 40 Tap water lead — 1 in 40 Medication misuse — 1 in 35 Traumatic brain injury — 1 in 33 Hospital infection — 1 in 31 Air pollution — 1 in 29 End-stage kidney disease — 1 in 29 Traveler's diarrhea (water) — 1 in 26 Skiing injury — 1 in 26 Bipolar disorder — 1 in 23 Wisdom-tooth surgery — 1 in 22 Dental tourism complication — 1 in 20 Elderly abandonment — 1 in 20 Parkinson's — 1 in 20 Pet parasites — 1 in 20 Undiagnosed ADHD — 1 in 20 Adult-onset food allergy — 1 in 19 Non-Alzheimer's dementia — 1 in 17 Cannabis use disorder — 1 in 16 Stroke — 1 in 15 PTSD — 1 in 15 Severe hearing loss — 1 in 14 Type 2 diabetes — 1 in 13 Appendicitis — 1 in 13 Indoor cooking smoke — 1 in 13 Untreated depression — 1 in 13 Soda and diabetes — 1 in 13 Heart disease — 1 in 12 Medical error death — 1 in 12 Compulsive sexual behavior — 1 in 12 Eating disorder — 1 in 11 Hip replacement — 1 in 11 Kidney stones — 1 in 11 Parent death/disability — 1 in 11 Sedentary lifestyle — 1 in 11 Salon infection — 1 in 11 Ovarian cancer — 1 in 91 Colorectal cancer — 1 in 77 Breast cancer — 1 in 59 Liver cancer — 1 in 59 Lung cancer — 1 in 56 Prostate cancer — 1 in 50 Melanoma (UV) — 1 in 29 Low-fiber CRC risk — 1 in 26 Red meat & CRC — 1 in 21 Charred meat & cancer — 1 in 20 Maintenance crash — 1 in 83 Driving on sedating meds — 1 in 77 Texting + driving — 1 in 56 Unbelted crash death — 1 in 53 Speeding 20% over limit — 1 in 50 Motorcycle no helmet — 1 in 45 Spaceflight (astronaut) — 1 in 42 Video watching + driving — 1 in 32 Child crash injury — 1 in 27 Drowsy driving — 1 in 26 Cruise ship norovirus — 1 in 24 E-scooter injury — 1 in 10 Pickpocketed while traveling — 1 in 38 Catalytic converter theft — 1 in 37 Knife-involved assault — 1 in 37 Vehicle theft — 1 in 34 Street robbery / mugging — 1 in 26 Wrongful conviction — 1 in 24 Drink spiking — 1 in 17 Keyless relay car theft — 1 in 13 Protest under autocracy — 1 in 12 AMOC collapse — 1 in 20 Sting anaphylaxis — 1 in 50 Cat collar injury — 1 in 25 Restaurant food poisoning — 1 in 58 B12 deficiency — 1 in 28 Vegetarian deficiency — 1 in 14 Intimate deepfake — 1 in 25 Social media problematic use — 1 in 13 Child swallows object (ER) — 1 in 91 Life-threatening birth (US) — 1 in 61 Childbirth death (SSA) — 1 in 55 Toddler stair fall — 1 in 37 Co-sleeping death — 1 in 36 Play swing & slide injury — 1 in 33 Autism diagnosis — 1 in 31 C-section complications — 1 in 29 Toy injury requiring ER (child) — 1 in 21 Preeclampsia — 1 in 20 Severe birth tearing — 1 in 17 Gestational diabetes — 1 in 13 Child fall head injury — 1 in 12 Dying without heir — 1 in 100 Sports betting financial ruin — 1 in 100 Fighter pilot death — 1 in 48 Commercial fishing career death — 1 in 45 Logging career death — 1 in 34 Medical bankruptcy — 1 in 25 Compulsive buying disorder — 1 in 20 Rental listing scam loss — 1 in 20 Losing SNAP under 2025 work rules — 1 in 18 Mortgage foreclosure — 1 in 14 Musculoskeletal LTD claim — 1 in 14 Day-trading losses — 1 in 13 Extremist govt catastrophe — 1 in 13 Hurricane home destruction — 1 in 17 NAION (Ozempic) — 1 in 909 Infant pool submersion — 1 in 800 MS — 1 in 769 Workplace fatality — 1 in 690 Typhoid fever — 1 in 654 GLP-1 anesthesia aspiration — 1 in 613 Unsafe imported products — 1 in 565 Brain aneurysm — 1 in 400 COVID-19 — 1 in 400 Fireworks injury — 1 in 385 Too much caffeine — 1 in 366 Sickle cell disease — 1 in 365 Counterfeit medicine — 1 in 361 Spinal cord injury — 1 in 313 Childhood cancer diagnosis — 1 in 285 Next pandemic death — 1 in 208 Dengue (travel) — 1 in 200 Heat-triggered preterm birth — 1 in 200 Skipping daily showers — 1 in 200 Not scrubbing feet — 1 in 200 Marrow donation risk — 1 in 167 Tick-borne encephalitis — 1 in 167 Schizophrenia — 1 in 143 Accidental fall — 1 in 135 Sudden death during exercise — 1 in 123 Suicide (US) — 1 in 121 Opioid addiction — 1 in 114 Tuberculosis (global) — 1 in 109 HIV diagnosis — 1 in 105 Radon cancer — 1 in 435 Testicular cancer — 1 in 250 Cervical cancer — 1 in 167 Pancreatic cancer — 1 in 125 Pedestrian death — 1 in 806 Motorcycle crash — 1 in 709 Boating drowning — 1 in 685 Driver kills pedestrian — 1 in 552 Phone-distracted walking injury — 1 in 400 EV battery fire — 1 in 333 Cyclist killed by car — 1 in 159 Petrol car fire — 1 in 125 Self-driving car fatality — 1 in 115 Car crash — 1 in 105 Firefighter duty death — 1 in 455 Police duty death — 1 in 357 Homicide — 1 in 339 Pig-butchering scam — 1 in 106 Extreme heat — 1 in 333 Climate change death — 1 in 204 Bat bite & rabies — 1 in 278 Mosquito-borne disease — 1 in 190 Food poisoning (global) — 1 in 317 Solar panel fire — 1 in 667 Untreated childhood scoliosis — 1 in 1,000 Child window fall — 1 in 855 Walker stair fall — 1 in 625 Infant fall — 1 in 500 Baby walker injury — 1 in 455 Maternal mortality — 1 in 272 Maternal age & birth defects — 1 in 200 Child death (<18) — 1 in 103 Caving career death — 1 in 167 EMS duty death — 1 in 909 Civilian war casualty — 1 in 499 Soldier in combat — 1 in 270 Student visa revocation — 1 in 263 Mining career death — 1 in 214 Gambling financial ruin — 1 in 159 Lightning home fire — 1 in 461 Wildfire home destruction — 1 in 120 Malaria (travel) — 1 in 10,000 Infection from shared drink — 1 in 10,000 Chagas disease — 1 in 8,475 Wild berry fox tapeworm — 1 in 8,475 Child nicotine-pouch ingestion — 1 in 7,937 Schistosomiasis death — 1 in 6,667 Sudden death (young adult) — 1 in 3,922 Unsafe wiring — 1 in 3,390 Sepsis from wound — 1 in 2,857 Anesthesia awareness — 1 in 2,500 Heat stroke (outdoor) — 1 in 1,905 House fire — 1 in 1,818 Rabies from dogs — 1 in 1,449 Drowning — 1 in 1,379 Shallow-water diving SCI — 1 in 1,111 Choking — 1 in 1,099 EVALI vaping hospitalization — 1 in 1,064 Betel nut cancer — 1 in 1,290 Blood clot (flight) — 1 in 4,651 Killing a cyclist — 1 in 3,937 Teen road-crash death — 1 in 3,030 Child rear bike seat — 1 in 2,500 Child without restraint — 1 in 2,000 Fatal police encounter — 1 in 4,739 Honor killing — 1 in 2,381 Intimate-partner homicide — 1 in 1,767 Hurricane — 1 in 8,929 Drought famine death — 1 in 6,536 Blizzard death — 1 in 4,367 Earthquake — 1 in 3,802 Listeria from deli meat — 1 in 6,061 Serious E. coli from fresh produce — 1 in 4,831 Food poisoning (US) — 1 in 1,862 Fish mercury — 1 in 1,695 Fish bone injury — 1 in 1,429 Phone/laptop battery fire — 1 in 4,545 Laundry pod ingestion — 1 in 6,494 Pool drowning — 1 in 5,882 Untreated infant hip dysplasia — 1 in 5,000 SIDS — 1 in 2,398 War (civilian) — 1 in 2,000 Flu brain swelling in a child (IAE/ANE) — 1 in 100,000 Fatal bee/wasp sting — 1 in 76,923 Locally-acquired dengue (continental US) — 1 in 66,667 Anesthesia death — 1 in 45,662 Dog hot car death — 1 in 41,667 Vibrio vulnificus wound infection — 1 in 32,051 Anaphylaxis — 1 in 27,548 Chiropractic neck manipulation — 1 in 16,667 CO poisoning — 1 in 14,006 Hepatitis A (travel) — 1 in 12,500 Skipping allergy immunotherapy — 1 in 11,111 Acrylamide & cancer — 1 in 16,667 Bus crash — 1 in 100,000 Plane crash — 1 in 58,824 Post-crash car fire — 1 in 25,000 Railroad crossing death — 1 in 20,576 Car submersion — 1 in 16,667 Child bike trailer — 1 in 14,286 Runway near-miss — 1 in 13,699 Acid attack — 1 in 94,340 Terrorism — 1 in 77,519 Child stranger abduction — 1 in 38,760 Stranger kidnapping — 1 in 35,211 Dowry death — 1 in 13,158 Accidental gun death — 1 in 11,299 Wildfire — 1 in 100,000 Tornado — 1 in 80,645 Tsunami — 1 in 52,632 Ocean drowning — 1 in 29,155 Flood — 1 in 20,202 Post-hurricane heat death — 1 in 20,000 Landslide death — 1 in 18,416 Supervolcano eruption — 1 in 12,376 Bee sting — 1 in 78,927 Swallowed bee/wasp — 1 in 29,155 Fatal scorpion sting — 1 in 26,110 Dog chocolate death — 1 in 13,889 Lead-tainted cinnamon pouch — 1 in 40,000 Plastic container leaching — 1 in 16,949 Infant car-seat asphyxia — 1 in 64,935 Bouncer chair fall — 1 in 60,606 Toddler choking — 1 in 50,000 Unsupervised infant choking — 1 in 50,000 Forward-facing toddler death — 1 in 26,738 Magnet ingestion — 1 in 12,048 Snorkeling death — 1 in 21,739 Pet in transport — 1 in 20,000 Death in ICE custody — 1 in 17,065 Landmine or UXO injury — 1 in 14,728 Vaccine reaction — 1 in 763,359 Aluminum & Alzheimer's — 1 in 169,492 Residential gas leak — 1 in 140,845 Child hot car death — 1 in 102,041 Glyphosate & cancer — 1 in 1,000,000 Teflon cookware cancer — 1 in 169,492 Roller coaster injury — 1 in 312,500 Ferry sinking — 1 in 133,333 Turbulence injury — 1 in 114,943 School shooting — 1 in 192,308 Mass shooting — 1 in 113,636 Avalanche — 1 in 210,526 Lightning — 1 in 209,205 Snake bite — 1 in 884,956 Spider bite — 1 in 833,333 Hippo attack — 1 in 564,972 Crocodile attack — 1 in 337,838 Dog bite — 1 in 142,045 Pesticide residue — 1 in 1,000,000 Dirty can illness — 1 in 200,000 PLA bioplastic harm — 1 in 169,492 Infant swing death — 1 in 714,286 Whole-grape choking — 1 in 625,000 Child blind cord strangulation — 1 in 416,667 Child plastic bag suffocation — 1 in 263,158 Button battery — 1 in 250,000 Inclined sleeper death — 1 in 238,095 Elevator/escalator death — 1 in 188,324 Japanese encephalitis (travel) — 1 in 2,000,000 Kid + front airbag — 1 in 10,000,000 Asteroid impact — 1 in 1,351,351 Banana spider eggs — 1 in 10,000,000 Shark attack — 1 in 5,681,818 Bear attack — 1 in 3,787,879 Wild berry poisoning — 1 in 2,222,222 Piranha attack — 1 in 135,135,135 Phone at gas pump — 1 in 1,000,000,000 Phone on plane — 1 in 1,000,000,000
Lottery jackpot 1 in 95,238

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